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The new longer-term Avatar: The Way of Water opening weekend projections at the box office show the sequel almost surpassing the success of James Cameron’s first film. The 2009 sci-fi movie broke all sorts of box office records along its path to becoming the most-grossing film of all time. The phenomenal box office success of Avatar has in turn attracted a lot of attention to how much money Avatar 2 will make. Although no one is expecting the sequel to outgross Avatar’s $2.9 billion worldwide haul The film’s huge budget and Disney’s investment in the future of the franchise means that there’s a lot of expectation to Avatar: The Way of Water to succeed.

Based on the latest long-range tracking offered by Box Office Pro, Avatar: The Way of Water is expected to earn more than $135 million during its opening weekend in the US. The first Avatar’s box-office debut had a $77 million opening domestically 13 years ago in December, so the new projections suggest Avatar 2’s first weekend at the box office to almost double the original. The projections suggest that the sequel will bring in $475M domestically by conclusion the theatrical release, which is lower than earlier reports , and is about half the amount Avatar produced domestically.

Avatar: The Way Of Water Review for Avatar: The Way of Water is a good start for the sequel on the screen. A reported $135 million opening could mean the follow-up will make within a single weekend what it took James Cameron’s first movie a full week to earn. However, Avatar 2’s box office will not be able to overcome the way to beat the first. The secret to Avatar’s remarkable box office success is the film’s amazing word-of-mouth advertising and repeat screenings that helped keep the film relevant and running in theaters for 234 consecutive days. It’s not commonplace even for the largest films. For reference, Top Gun: Maverick topped out at 161 days this year.

There’s little doubt of the possibility that Avatar: The Way of Water will be able to surpass the original film, however, it’s not required to become the most-grossing production ever to be a success. The excitement for the sequel has largely squashed the argument that Avatar did not leave a lasting impression on people in general. Even even if the sequel’s gross is only half that of the original film, it would still make $1.3 billion and that would make Avatar 2’s billion-dollar box office an enormous success. It is enough to be the second-highest-grossing film of 2022.

There’s there is a lot of pressure to Avatar 2’s box office to be good enough to keep James Cameron’s sequel plans alive. Cameron is slated to produce three sequels, with Avatar 3 already completely filmed. Some work is also done for Avatar 4. However, the director has acknowledged that If the sequel’s box office falls short and the audience is not at all interested, Avatar 3 could be the end of the franchise. In that fashion, Avatar The Way of Water’s box office will play a major role in determining what comes the next James Cameron’s films.